The Denver Nuggets are 9.5-point underdogs for Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Monday, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Monday
Our computer projections model for this contest expects a final result of Thunder 123, Nuggets 109.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-431)
- Total Pick: Over 225 (computer predicts 231.6 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-9.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/10/2025 | Thunder | -8.5 | 240.5 | -403 | +315 | 140-127 DEN |
| 3/9/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 243.5 | -311 | +249 | 127-103 OKC |
| 11/6/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 224.5 | -256 | +215 | 124-122 DEN |
| 10/24/2024 | Nuggets | -2 | 228.5 | -134 | +113 | 102-87 OKC |
| 1/31/2024 | Thunder | -5.5 | 223 | -221 | +180 | 105-100 OKC |
| 12/29/2023 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 237.5 | -125 | +105 | 119-93 OKC |
| 12/16/2023 | Nuggets | -5 | 237.5 | -206 | +171 | 118-117 OKC |
| 10/29/2023 | Nuggets | -3.5 | 230.5 | -163 | +139 | 128-95 DEN |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Oklahoma City has put together a 54-26-2 record against the spread.
- In games they have played as at least 9.5-point favorites this season, the Thunder are 27-14-1 against the spread.
- Out of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total, 46 have hit the over (56.1%).
- The Thunder have won 66, or 83.5%, of the 79 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 34 of its 39 games, or 87.2%, when favored by at least -431 on the moneyline.
Nuggets 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this year, Denver has put together a 38-44-0 record against the spread.
- The Nuggets are 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 9.5-point underdogs.
- Denver has hit the over in 49 of its 82 games with a set total (59.8%).
- The Nuggets have won 50% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (10-10).
- Denver has played as a moneyline underdog of +332 or longer in only one game this season, which it won.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Ousmane Dieng: Day-To-Day (Calf),
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl)
Nuggets
Nuggets:
DaRon Holmes: Out For Season (Achilles)
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Monday, May 5, 2025
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: TNT, truTV, and MAX
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
- Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
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