The Denver Nuggets are 4.5-point underdogs in a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Ball Arena on Thursday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Thunder are ahead 3-2 in the series.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projections model for this encounter calls for a final result of Thunder 120, Nuggets 111.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-181)
- Total Pick: Over 217.5 (computer predicts 231.0 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-4.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/13/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 222 | -448 | +345 | 112-105 OKC |
| 5/11/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 228 | -275 | +224 | 92-87 OKC |
| 5/9/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 232 | -266 | +217 | 113-104 DEN |
| 5/7/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 229.5 | -488 | +371 | 149-106 OKC |
| 5/5/2025 | Thunder | -10.5 | 228.5 | -481 | +366 | 121-119 DEN |
| 3/10/2025 | Thunder | -8.5 | 240.5 | -403 | +315 | 140-127 DEN |
| 3/9/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 243.5 | -311 | +249 | 127-103 OKC |
| 11/6/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 224.5 | -256 | +215 | 124-122 DEN |
| 10/24/2024 | Nuggets | -2 | 228.5 | -134 | +113 | 102-87 OKC |
| 1/31/2024 | Thunder | -5.5 | 223 | -221 | +180 | 105-100 OKC |
| 12/29/2023 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 237.5 | -125 | +105 | 119-93 OKC |
| 12/16/2023 | Nuggets | -5 | 237.5 | -206 | +171 | 118-117 OKC |
| 10/29/2023 | Nuggets | -3.5 | 230.5 | -163 | +139 | 128-95 DEN |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Oklahoma City has put together a 54-26-2 record against the spread.
- The Thunder have a 44-23-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
- Out of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total, 46 have hit the over (56.1%).
- The Thunder have been favorites in 79 games this season and won 66 (83.5%) of those contests.
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 57 of its 68 games, or 83.8%, when favored by at least -181 on the moneyline.
Nuggets 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Denver is 38-44-0 against the spread this season.
- In games this season in which they were an underdog by 4.5 points or more, the Nuggets have a 6-5 record against the spread.
- Denver has gone over in 49 of its 82 games with a set total (59.8%).
- The Nuggets have a 10-10 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
- Denver has gone 5-5 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +151 or longer (50%).
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl)
Nuggets
Nuggets:
DaRon Holmes: Out For Season (Achilles),
Hunter Tyson: Out (Ankle)
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Thursday, May 15, 2025
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Arena: Ball Arena
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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