Lightning vs. Avalanche Prediction & Picks - Oct. 23

The Colorado Avalanche (5-4-1) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (7-2, winners of three in a row) at Ball Arena. The matchup on Friday, Oct. 23 begins at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Before watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which squad we think will emerge with the victory in Friday's action on the ice.

Lightning vs. Avalanche Predictions for Friday

Our computer projections model for this game predicts a final result of Avalanche 4, Lightning 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Avalanche (-126)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

• The Avalanche (5-4-1 overall) have a -1-1 record in games that have required overtime.
• Colorado is 1-3-0 (two points) in its four games decided by one goal.
• Colorado finished 0-2-1 in the three games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering one point).
• The Avalanche have scored more than two goals seven times, and are 5-2-0 in those games (to record 10 points).
• In the two games when Colorado has recorded a lone power-play goal, it won both times (four points).
• When it has outshot its opponent, Colorado is 2-3-1 (five points).
• The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents three times, and went 2-1-0 (four points).

Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning have a 7-2 record this season and are 1-0-1 in games that have needed overtime.
• Tampa Bay has won both of its games that were decided by one goal.
• This season the Lightning recorded only one goal in two games and they lost both times.
• So far this season, the Lightning have scored three or more goals seven times and won each of those games.
• Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in four games this season and won all of those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 5-1-0 (10 points).
• The Lightning have been outshot by opponents three times this season, and earned four points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Avalanche Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado

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